House Rules: No Betting on Our Performance
Seth Moulton bans his staff from prediction markets—because if anyone’s going to gamble on elections with inside info, it better stay on Capitol Hill, not on-chain.
‘We’re not *that* kind of casino,’ says the guy whose entire career is literally priced into a market every two years.
Source headline
US Rep. Seth Moulton Issues Staff Market Trading Ban — The U.S. Senate candidate said staff will not be allowed to participate in "prediction market" platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi.
Around the Shallot
Stay in the same broken universe.
Forecasts, satire, cartoons, and quizzes should feel like one publication, not disconnected tabs.
Tech
DOGE Unveils ‘War UX 2.0’: U.S.–Iran Conflict To Be Managed Like A Buggy App Update
Department of Government Efficiency reassures public that if the ceasefire can’t be fixed, it can at least be A/B tested, monetized, and pushed to the cloud.
Jul 13
Forecast
By Mid‑August 2026, Iran Will Reopen Hormuz Oil Traffic
Iran says the Strait of Hormuz is shut until the U.S. leaves the neighborhood. Tanker traffic and mediators say something more boring: this is a price‑setting tantrum that ends in a technical deal, not a 90‑day blockade.
Jul 12
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