Red Sea Roulette: Shipping Lane Jenga
Iran-backed Houthis pull one more block out of the global trade tower while everyone swears it’s still ‘stable’ and ‘orderly.’

“Relax,” says the G7 hand nervously yanking out the ‘Red Sea’ block, “global supply chains are *resilient*.” Behind him, the Houthi hand casually flicks a missile-shaped piece labeled “Bab el-Mandeb” from the bottom row.
Source headline
Iran-backed Houthis enter the month-old war and could further threaten global shipping
Around the Shallot
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Tech
DOGE Unveils ‘War UX 2.0’: U.S.–Iran Conflict To Be Managed Like A Buggy App Update
Department of Government Efficiency reassures public that if the ceasefire can’t be fixed, it can at least be A/B tested, monetized, and pushed to the cloud.
Jul 13

Forecast
By Mid‑August 2026, Iran Will Reopen Hormuz Oil Traffic
Iran says the Strait of Hormuz is shut until the U.S. leaves the neighborhood. Tanker traffic and mediators say something more boring: this is a price‑setting tantrum that ends in a technical deal, not a 90‑day blockade.
Jul 12

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